If The Season Ended Today… BUCS Week Nine

We’re past the point of no return in the 2016/17 season and so it’s time to start talking about who’s ready to book their place in the postseason!

If the powers that be at BUCS were to call an end to the season this very day? Let’s take a look at who’d be in or out when it comes to the postseason culls in each tier.

Division Two

We’ll start at the bottom and work our way up.

Division Two has the smallest number of teams headed to a potential postseason, by proportion to the number of teams involved at least, with 16 berths for the 43 teams that began the season in that tier to compete for – eight for the three northern conferences (2A Borders, 2A North and 2A Midlands), eight for the three southern (2A South, 2A South East, 2A South West). Playoffs are regional.

What’s more, this season in Division Two is the first time we’ll see the postseason fixtures only determining BUCS points – much to the chagrin of pretty much the entire tier who had this sprung upon them midway through the season. Rather, promotion is determined beforehand, with conferences winners from each of the six conferences switching place with the six fifth-place finishers from the respective Division One conference above them.

The eight playoff berths for each region (north/south) are determined and seeded as follows.

  • Teams placed first in each conference are seeded #1, #2, #3.
  • Teams placed second in each conference are seeded #4, #5, #6.
  • The two third place teams with the best from across the three conferences are seeded #7, #8.

In cases where teams have the same number of BUCS points (two per win), tiebreakers are as follows:

  • Teams that have conceded walkovers will always be placed below those of equal points that have not. (BUCS REG 9.9.1)
  • Head to head record. Where this is split, the aggregate score will determine the higher placed team.  (BUCS REG 9.9.3)
  • Points conceded (BUCS AMF 11.4). It’s not specified, but we assume this is average points conceded over games played (walkover wins are discounted)
  • Points scored (BUCS REG 9.9.7)
  • Coin Toss (BUCS REG 9.9.9)

Bearing all this in mind,

The teams currently sat in play off berths in the Division Two northern conferences are as follows:

#1 – Edinburgh Napier Knights (4-0, 4.8 papg)
#2 – Coventry University Jets (4-0, 8.0 papg)
#3 – Leeds Gryphons (4-0, 11.0 papg)
#4 – Leicester Longhorns (4-1, 11.0 papg)
#5 – Bangor Muddogs (3-1, 6.5 papg)
#6 – Edinburgh Predators (3-1, 8.5 papg)
#7 – Liverpool Raptors (3-2, 2.8 papg)
#8 – MMU Eagles (3-2, 17.0 papg) *

As it currently stands in the north, no teams have guaranteed themselves a playoff berth, and only the Chester Legion are eliminated.

*MMU Eagles have a worse PAPG than Lincoln Colonials but hold the head to head tiebreaker over them.

The teams currently sat in play off berths in the Division Two southern conferences are as follows:

#1 – Canterbury Chargers* (6-0, 3.0 papg) †
#2 – Brunel Burners (4-0, 2.0 papg)
#3 – Plymouth Blitz (4-1, 9.0 papg)
#4 – QMBL Vipers* (4-1, 8.6 papg)
#5 – UCL Emperors (4-1, 14.4 papg)
#6 – Bristol Barracuda (3-1, 10.3 papg)
#7 – Essex Blades* (4-1, 11.0 papg)
#8 – Gloucestershire Gladiators (3-1, 11.0 papg)

*We’re not currently sure how the uneven schedule length will affect teams in the southern conferences – 2A South East teams have a seven game season, compared to six games in other conferences. The simplest solution would be to simply discount walkover wins against LSBU, who withdrew before the season got underway. This would see UCL Emperors and QMBL Vipers swap places in the #4 and #5 seeds, as well as Essex and Gloucestershire swap places in the #7 and #8 seeds.

† The Chargers, at 6-0 (or even 5-0 if LSBU results are not counted) are guaranteed a postseason berth, already holding the head to head over Essex and QMBL, meaning their worst possible finish would be second in their conference should the UEL Phoenix win out.

Locked in:
  • Canterbury Chargers
Out of the race:
  • Edge Hill Vikings
  • City Sentinels
  • OBU Panthers
  • DMU Falcons
  • Chester Legion
  • Bath Spa Bulldogs
  • Northampton Nemesis
  • Westminster Dragons
  • LSBU Spartans

Division One

To all intents and purposes the rules and regulations concerning playoff qualification in Division One are the same as those of Division Two.

Sixteen teams, eight from each regional group of three conferences, qualify for the postseason. Seedings and tiebreakers are determined as per Division Two. Playoffs are regional.

However, in this instance teams are still competing for promotion via the postseason, and the two regional champions will receive promotion to the top tier, before competing against one another in a Division One National Title game.

Based on these factors,

The teams currently sat in play off berths in the Division One northern conferences are as follows:

#1 – Sheffield Hallam Warriors (6-0 6.8 papg) †
#2 –  Nottingham (5-0, 2.0 papg)
#3 – Hull Sharks (5-1, 15.2 papg)
#4 – Warwick Wolves (5-1, 12.0 papg) †
#5 – UCLan Rams (4-2, 6.3 papg)
#6 – Glasgow Tigers (4-2, 16.3 papg)
#7 – Leeds Beckett Carnegie (3-2, 19.8 papg)
#8 – Northumbria Mustangs (3-3, 20.2 papg)

As it stands, Sheffield Hallam Warriors and Warwick Wolves have guaranteed themselves playoff berths. Interestingly, Warwick currently sit second in the 1A Midlands behind Nottingham yet they have guaranteed a playoff place as they hold the head to head over LJMU Fury. As Nottingham and LJMU are yet to complete both legs of their contests, as are Nottingham and Warwick, Nottingham could mathematically still slide to 5-3 and miss out on postseason balling.

No team is completely ruled out of the playoffs though a few are close!

Locked in:
  • Sheffield Hallam Warriors
  • Warwick Wolves
Out of the race:

N/A

The teams currently sat in play off berths in the Division One southern conferences are as follows:

#1 – Portsmouth Destroyers (6-0, 4.2 papg) †
#2 – Cardiff Cobras (6-0, 10.5 papg) †
#3 – Cambridge Pythons (5-0, 5.6 papg)
#4 – Surrey Stingers (5-1, 13.5 papg) †
#5 – Imperial Immortals (4-2, 8.0 papg)
#6 – Exeter Demons (3-2, 8.8 papg)
#7 – Kent Falcons (2-2, 11.0 papg)
#8 – Sussex Saxons (2-3, 16.4 papg)

Cardiff are now the 1A South West champions as they hold the H2H over Exeter. Portsmouth and Surrey will finish 1st and 2nd in the 1A South but the order is yet to be determined. The remainder of the playoff race is wide open.

Locked in:
  • Portsmouth Destroyers
  • Cardiff Cobras
  • Surrey Stingers
Out of the race:

N/A

 

Premiership

The 16/17 Premiership postseason sees eight of the ten teams secure berths to the postseason, with only fifth-place finishers not seeing at least one game of postseason Uniball, and instead automatically relegated.

Seeding is determined by placement of each team in respective conference.

  • Teams placed first in each conference are seeded #1 and #2.
  • Teams placed second in each conference are seeded #3 and #4.
  • Teams in third place in each conferences are seeded #5 and #6
  • And teams placed fourth are seeded #7 and #8.

The tiebreakers noted above will determine seedings between inter-conference opposition.

Therefore, as things currently stand the playoff seedings would look as follows:

A: North #1 vs South #4
Durham Saints (5-0, 23.6 papg) † vs Kingston Cougars (1-4, 27.8 papg)
B: South #1 vs North #4
Hertfordshire Hurricanes (4-0, 9.75 papg) † vs Derby Braves (2-3, 34.2 papg)
C: North #2 vs South #3
Stirling Clansmen (4-2, 21.0 papg) † vs  Swansea Titans (3-2, 13.8 papg)
D: South #2 vs North #3
Birmingham Lions (4-2, 14.8 papg) † vs Loughborough Students (3-3, 18.3 papg)

† Six out of the ten teams in the Premiership Conferences have now confirmed their place in the playoffs as they can finish no worse than fourth in their respective conferences.

At this time no teams have ruled themselves out of the playoffs.

Locked in:
  • Durham Saints
  • Hertfordshire Hurricanes
  • Birmingham Lions
  • Stirling Clansmen
  • Swansea Titans
  • Loughborough Students
Out of the race:

N/A

 


 

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