If The Season Ended Today… BUCS Week Twelve

The regular season is finally done… here is our take on how the playoffs will look!

**Disclaimer: This is #TeamDC’s best effort to resolve the playoff seedings and match ups based on our interpretation of BUCS regulations. This is not official league fixtures, and therefore should not be treated as set in stone. We have, for example, made a number of assumptions regarding BUCS rulings and interpretations.**

Some provisos:

  • We have assumed that ‘Points Against’ as a tie breaker is based upon average points conceded per game played (PAPG) – as this was used in previous years. However, BUCS Regulation AMF 11.4 only specifies ‘points conceded’, not whether this is total, or average, or whether walkover games are taken into account.
  • We have assumed that as both Imperial, RHUL, and the game’s officials agreed as such, that the Imperial vs RHUL game that was called due to a player injury ahead of half time will be permitted to stand as a win for Imperial – either as a 6-0 win, or perhaps a 1-0 walkover.
  • We have assumed that the Kent-RHUL double header, completed in Week Ten, will stand as two separate games.
  • We have assumed that UWE’s forfeit vs Oxford back in Week Two due to lack of medical cover means the Bullets will not proceed to the postseason, owing to a 4-4 record, but only 6 league points.

Based on these assumptions we are able to share the following unofficial playoff seedings and fixtures.

Full fixtures are expected to be released by BUCS and BAFA later today.

Division Two

We’ll start at the bottom and work our way up.

Division Two has the smallest number of teams headed to a potential postseason, by proportion to the number of teams involved at least, with 16 berths for the 43 teams that began the season in that tier to compete for – eight for the three northern conferences (2A Borders, 2A North and 2A Midlands), eight for the three southern (2A South, 2A South East, 2A South West). Playoffs are regional.

What’s more, this season in Division Two is the first time we’ll see the postseason fixtures only determining BUCS points – much to the chagrin of pretty much the entire tier who had this sprung upon them midway through the season. Rather, promotion is determined beforehand, with conferences winners from each of the six conferences switching place with the six fifth-place finishers from the respective Division One conference above them.

The eight playoff berths for each region (north/south) are determined and seeded as follows.

  • Teams placed first in each conference are seeded #1, #2, #3.
  • Teams placed second in each conference are seeded #4, #5, #6.
  • The two third place teams with the best from across the three conferences are seeded #7, #8.

In cases where teams have the same number of BUCS points (two per win), tiebreakers are as follows:

  • Teams that have conceded walkovers will always be placed below those of equal points that have not. (BUCS REG 9.9.1)
  • Head to head record. Where this is split, the aggregate score will determine the higher placed team.  (BUCS REG 9.9.3)
  • Points conceded (BUCS AMF 11.4). It’s not specified, but we assume this is average points conceded over games played (walkover wins are discounted)
  • Points scored (BUCS REG 9.9.7)
  • Coin Toss (BUCS REG 9.9.9)

Bearing all this in mind,

The teams currently sat in play off berths in the Division Two northern conferences are as follows:

#1 – Edinburgh Napier Knights (6-0, 4.16 papg)
#2 -Leeds Gryphons (6-0, 12.0 papg)
#3 – Leicester Longhorns (5-1, 10.0 papg)
#4 – Bangor Muddogs (5-1, 6.3 papg)
#5 – Edinburgh Predators (4-2, 8.3 papg)
#6 – Coventry University Jets (4-1, 9.5 papg)
#7 – Heriot Watt (4-2, 13.5 papg)
#8 – Lincoln Colonials (4-2 14.8 papg)

The Leicester Longhorns, Edinburgh Napier Knights and Leeds Gryphons are your conference champions and will be promoted to Division One.

There is still one fixture yet to be decided by the BUCS office – Coventry v DMU which was postponed last week. If this is voided, the rankings will remain as above. If it is instead awarded to Coventry, they will leapfrog Edinburgh into the #5 spot.

Predicted quarter final fixtures:
Edinburgh Napier Knights v Lincoln Colonials
Leeds Gryphons v Heriot Watt
Leicester Longhorns v Coventry University Jets
Bangor Muddogs v Edinburgh Predators

The teams currently sat in play off berths in the Division Two southern conferences are as follows:

#1 – Canterbury Chargers (6-0, 4.0 papg)
#2 – Brunel Burners (6-0, 5.3 papg)
#3 – Plymouth Blitz (5-1, 7.5 papg)
#4 – Gloucestershire Gladiators (5-1, 7.3 papg) *
#5 – QMBL Vipers (5-1, 8.4 papg) *
#6 – Southampton Stags (5-1, 11.6 papg)
#7 – Bristol Barracuda (4-2, 7.3 papg)
#8 – UCL Emperors (4-2,  17.7 papg)

The Canterbury Chargers, Brunel Burners and Plymouth Blitz are confirmed conference champions and will be promoted to Division One.

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In a change from last week, LSBU have been removed from the 2A South East by BUCS so now schedule length is equal across all three conferences.

Predicted quarter final fixtures:
Canterbury Chargers v UCL Emperors
Brunel Burners v Bristol Barracuda
Plymouth Blitz v Southampton Stags
Gloucestershire Gladiators v QMBL Vipers *

*depending on how BUCS chooses to interpret ‘points conceded’ this fixture could yet be reversed, as QMBL have less points conceded total (41 vs 44), but have played one less game than Gloucestershire.


Division One

To all intents and purposes the rules and regulations concerning playoff qualification in Division One are the same as those of Division Two.

Sixteen teams, eight from each regional group of three conferences, qualify for the postseason. Seedings and tiebreakers are determined as per Division Two. Playoffs are regional.

However, in this instance teams are still competing for promotion via the postseason, and the two regional champions will receive promotion to the top tier, before competing against one another in a Division One National Title game.

Based on these factors,

The teams currently sat in play off berths in the Division One northern conferences are as follows:

#1 – Nottingham (8-0, 5.0 papg)
#2 – Sheffield Hallam Warriors (7-1, 6.6 papg)
#3 – Hull Sharks (7-1, 13.1 papg)
#4 – Warwick Wolves (6-2, 15.0 papg)
#5 – Leeds Beckett Carnegie (6-2, 18.5 papg)
#6 – Glasgow Tigers (5-3, 17.8 papg)
#7 – UCLan Rams (5-3, 9.4 papg)
#8 – LJMU Fury (4-4, 23.0 papg)

Sheffield Hallam Warriors, Hull Sharks and Nottingham are confirmed conference champions.

Predicted quarter final fixtures:
Nottingham v LJMU Fury
Sheffield Hallam Warriors v UCLan Rams
Hull Sharks v Glasgow Tigers
Warwick Wolves v Leeds Beckett Carnegie

The teams currently sat in play off berths in the Division One southern conferences are as follows:

#1 – Portsmouth Destroyers (8-0, 4.9 papg)
#2 – Cardiff Cobras (7-1, 10.4 papg)
#3 – Imperial Immortals (6-2, 6.0 papg)
#4 – Kent Falcons (6-2, 10.3 papg)
#5 – Surrey Stingers (6-2, 12.6 papg)
#6 – Exeter Demons (5-3, 7.0 papg)
#7 – Cambridge Pythons (6-2, 10.3 papg)
#8 – Reading Knights (3-5, 18.2 papg)

Cardiff, Imperial and Portsmouth are Conference Champions.

The 1A South East finished with three teams (Imperial, Kent and Cambridge) on 6-2. By our reckoning and at the risk of incurring the wrath of some very intelligent PhD students with a vested interest, as there is a three way tie, we create a “mini-league” between the three teams. They each have 2-2 records in this mini-league. Moving on to H2H, Imperial hold the H2H over both Kent and Cambridge and hence take 1st place. This leaves Kent and Cambridge to be decided by the H2H between them, which Kent edge by a single point and thus take 2nd place. We wait to see if BUCS will apply the tiebreakers in the same fashion.

Predicted quarter final fixtures:
Portsmouth Destroyers v Reading Knights
Cardiff Cobras v Cambridge Pythons
Imperial Immortals v Exeter Demons
Kent Falcons v Surrey Stingers

Premiership

The 16/17 Premiership postseason sees eight of the ten teams secure berths to the postseason, with only fifth-place finishers not seeing at least one game of postseason Uniball, and instead automatically relegated.

Seeding is determined by placement of each team in respective conference.

  • Teams placed first in each conference are seeded #1 and #2.
  • Teams placed second in each conference are seeded #3 and #4.
  • Teams in third place in each conferences are seeded #5 and #6
  • And teams placed fourth are seeded #7 and #8.

The tiebreakers noted above will determine seedings between inter-conference opposition.

After last week’s shocking revelations from Durham, everything has changed. This is how the matchups are looking:

A: North #1 vs South #4
Stirling Clansmen (6-2, 17.1 papg)  vs Bath Killer Bees (2-6, 18.3 papg)
B: South #1 vs North #4
Hertfordshire Hurricanes (7-1, 11.1 papg)  vs   Durham Saints (3-5, 13.3 papg)
C: North #2 vs South #3
Loughborough Students (6-2, 14.0 papg)  vs  Swansea Titans (5-3, 12.9 papg)
D: South #2 vs North #3
Birmingham Lions (5-3, 14.3 papg)  vs  Derby Braves (5-3, 25.7 papg)

 

Spot any mistakes or have any queries? Just shout!

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